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In [[finance]], the '''Black–Derman–Toy model''' ('''BDT''') is a popular [[short rate model]] used in the pricing of [[bond option]]s, [[swaptions]] and other [[interest rate derivative]]s. It is a one-factor model; that is, a single [[stochastic]] factor  – the short rate – determines the future evolution of all interest rates.  It was the first model to combine the [[mean reversion (finance)|mean-reverting]] behaviour of the short rate with the [[lognormal distribution]], [http://janroman.dhis.org/finance/Interest%20Rates/3%20interest%20rates%20models.pdf] and is still widely used. [http://books.google.com/books?id=GnR3g9lvwfkC&pg=PP1&dq=Fixed+income+analysis+By+Frank+J.+Fabozzi,+Mark+Jonathan+Paul+Anson&ei=tpTVS7LjKILYNoPk7I8I&cd=1#v=snippet&q=Black-Derman-Toy&f=false][http://www.soa.org/library/professional-actuarial-specialty-guides/professional-actuarial-specialty-guides/2003/september/spg0308alm.pdf]
 
The model was introduced by [[Fischer Black]], [[Emanuel Derman]], and [[William Toy|Bill Toy]]. It was first developed for in-house use by [[Goldman Sachs]] in the 1980s and was published in the ''[[Financial Analysts Journal]]'' in 1990. A personal account of the development of the model is provided in one of the chapters in Emanuel Derman's [[memoir]] "[[My Life as A Quant: Reflections on Physics and Finance|My Life as a Quant]]."[http://www.ederman.com/new/index.html]
 
Under BDT, using a [[Binomial options pricing model|binomial lattice]], one [[root finding|calibrates]] the model parameters to fit both the current term structure of interest rates ([[yield curve]]), and the [[Volatility_(finance)#Volatility_terminology|volatility structure]] for [[interest rate cap]]s (usually [[Interest_rate_cap#Implied_Volatilities|as implied]] by the [[Black-76]]-prices for each component caplet). Using the calibrated lattice one can then value a variety of more complex interest-rate sensitive securities and [[interest rate derivative]]s. Calibration here means that: (1) we assume the probability of an up move = 50%; (2) for each input [[spot rate]], we: (a) [[iteration|iteratively]] adjust the rate at the top-most node at the current time-step, i; (b) find all other nodes in the time-step, where these are linked to the node immediately above via 0.5 ln (ru/rd) = σi sqrt(Δt); (c) discount recursively through the tree, from to the time-step in question to the first node in the tree; (d) repeat this until the calculated spot-rate (i.e. the [[discount factor]] at the first node in the tree) equals the assumed spot-rate; (3) Once solved, we retain these known short rates, and proceed to the next time-step (i.e. input spot-rate), "growing" the tree until it incorporates the full input yield-curve.
 
Although initially developed for a lattice-based environment, the model has been shown to imply the following continuous [[stochastic differential equation]]:[http://help.derivativepricing.com/2327.htm][http://janroman.dhis.org/finance/Interest%20Rates/3%20interest%20rates%20models.pdf]
 
:<math> d\ln(r) = [\theta_t + \frac{\sigma'_t}{\sigma_t}\ln(r)]dt + \sigma_t\, dW_t </math>
 
::where,
::<math> r\,</math> = the instantaneous short rate at time t
::<math>\theta_t\,</math> = value of the underlying asset at option expiry
::<math>\sigma_t\,</math> = instant short rate volatility
::<math>W_t\,</math> = a standard [[Brownian motion]] under a [[Risk-neutral measure|Risk-neutral]] probability measure; <math>dW_t\,</math> its [[differential (mathematics)|differential]].
 
For constant (time independent) short rate volatility, <math>\sigma\,</math>, the model is:
 
:<math>d\ln(r) = \theta_t\, dt + \sigma \, dW_t </math>
 
One reason that the model remains popular, is that the "standard" [[Root-finding algorithm]]s – such as [[Newton's method]] (the [[secant method]]) or [[bisection method|bisection]] – are very easily applied to the calibration.[http://www.cfapubs.org/toc/rf/2001/2001/4] Relatedly, the model was originally described in [[algorithm]]ic language, and not using [[stochastic calculus]] or [[martingale (probability theory)|martingale]]s. [http://www.ederman.com/new/docs/fen-interview.html]
 
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{refbegin}}
 
*{{cite journal|first=S.|last=Benninga|coauthors=Wiener, Z.|title=Binomial Term Structure Models|year= 1998|pages=vol.7 No. 3|journal=Mathematica in Education and Research|url=http://pluto.mscc.huji.ac.il/~mswiener/research/Benninga73.pdf}}
*{{cite journal|first=F.|last=Black|coauthors=Derman, E. and Toy, W.|title=A One-Factor Model of Interest Rates and Its Application to Treasury Bond Options|date=January–February 1990|pages=24–32|journal=Financial Analysts Journal|url=http://savage.wharton.upenn.edu/FNCE-934/syllabus/papers/Black_Derman_Toy_FAJ_90.pdf}}
*{{cite journal|first=P.|last=Boyle|authorlink=Phelim Boyle|coauthors=Tan, K. and Tian, W.|title=Calibrating the Black–Derman–Toy model: some theoretical results |year=2001|pages=8, 27–48|journal=Applied Mathematical Finance|url=http://belkcollegeofbusiness.uncc.edu/wtian1/bdt.pdf}}
*{{cite web|last=Hull|first=J.|year=2008|title=The Black, Derman, and Toy Model|publisher=Technical Note No. 23, ''Options, Futures, and Other  Derivatives''|coauthors=|url=http://www.rotman.utoronto.ca/~hull/TechnicalNotes/TechnicalNote23.pdf|authorlink=John C. Hull}}
*{{cite web|last=Klose|first=C.|year=2003|title=Implementation of the Black, Derman and Toy Model|publisher=Seminar Financial Engineering, University of Vienna|coauthors=Li C. Y.|url=http://www.lcy.net/files/BDT_Seminar_Paper.pdf}}
 
{{refend}}
 
==External links==
*[http://lombok.demon.co.uk/financialTap/interestrates/bdtshortrates Online: Black-Derman-Toy short rate tree generator] Dr. Shing Hing Man, Thomson-Reuters' Risk Management
*[http://lombok.demon.co.uk/financialTap/interestrates/bdtbond Online: Pricing A Bond Using the BDT Model] Dr. Shing Hing Man, Thomson-Reuters' Risk Management
*[http://quantcalc.net/BDTBond.html Calculator for BDT Model] QuantCalc, Online Financial Math Calculator
{{Bond market}}
{{Stochastic processes}}
 
{{DEFAULTSORT:Black-Derman-Toy Model}}
[[Category:Financial economics]]
[[Category:Mathematical finance]]
[[Category:Fixed income analysis]]
[[Category:Short-rate models]]

Revision as of 16:03, 11 April 2013

In finance, the Black–Derman–Toy model (BDT) is a popular short rate model used in the pricing of bond options, swaptions and other interest rate derivatives. It is a one-factor model; that is, a single stochastic factor – the short rate – determines the future evolution of all interest rates. It was the first model to combine the mean-reverting behaviour of the short rate with the lognormal distribution, [1] and is still widely used. [2][3]

The model was introduced by Fischer Black, Emanuel Derman, and Bill Toy. It was first developed for in-house use by Goldman Sachs in the 1980s and was published in the Financial Analysts Journal in 1990. A personal account of the development of the model is provided in one of the chapters in Emanuel Derman's memoir "My Life as a Quant."[4]

Under BDT, using a binomial lattice, one calibrates the model parameters to fit both the current term structure of interest rates (yield curve), and the volatility structure for interest rate caps (usually as implied by the Black-76-prices for each component caplet). Using the calibrated lattice one can then value a variety of more complex interest-rate sensitive securities and interest rate derivatives. Calibration here means that: (1) we assume the probability of an up move = 50%; (2) for each input spot rate, we: (a) iteratively adjust the rate at the top-most node at the current time-step, i; (b) find all other nodes in the time-step, where these are linked to the node immediately above via 0.5 ln (ru/rd) = σi sqrt(Δt); (c) discount recursively through the tree, from to the time-step in question to the first node in the tree; (d) repeat this until the calculated spot-rate (i.e. the discount factor at the first node in the tree) equals the assumed spot-rate; (3) Once solved, we retain these known short rates, and proceed to the next time-step (i.e. input spot-rate), "growing" the tree until it incorporates the full input yield-curve.

Although initially developed for a lattice-based environment, the model has been shown to imply the following continuous stochastic differential equation:[5][6]

dln(r)=[θt+σ'tσtln(r)]dt+σtdWt
where,
r = the instantaneous short rate at time t
θt = value of the underlying asset at option expiry
σt = instant short rate volatility
Wt = a standard Brownian motion under a Risk-neutral probability measure; dWt its differential.

For constant (time independent) short rate volatility, σ, the model is:

dln(r)=θtdt+σdWt

One reason that the model remains popular, is that the "standard" Root-finding algorithms – such as Newton's method (the secant method) or bisection – are very easily applied to the calibration.[7] Relatedly, the model was originally described in algorithmic language, and not using stochastic calculus or martingales. [8]

References

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    In its statement, the singapore property listing - website link, government claimed that the majority citizens buying their first residence won't be hurt by the new measures. Some concessions can even be prolonged to chose teams of consumers, similar to married couples with a minimum of one Singaporean partner who are purchasing their second property so long as they intend to promote their first residential property. Lower the LTV limit on housing loans granted by monetary establishments regulated by MAS from 70% to 60% for property purchasers who are individuals with a number of outstanding housing loans on the time of the brand new housing purchase. Singapore Property Measures - 30 August 2010 The most popular seek for the number of bedrooms in Singapore is 4, followed by 2 and three. Lush Acres EC @ Sengkang

    Discover out more about real estate funding in the area, together with info on international funding incentives and property possession. Many Singaporeans have been investing in property across the causeway in recent years, attracted by comparatively low prices. However, those who need to exit their investments quickly are likely to face significant challenges when trying to sell their property – and could finally be stuck with a property they can't sell. Career improvement programmes, in-house valuation, auctions and administrative help, venture advertising and marketing, skilled talks and traisning are continuously planned for the sales associates to help them obtain better outcomes for his or her shoppers while at Knight Frank Singapore. No change Present Rules

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    The data offered is for normal info purposes only and isn't supposed to be personalised investment or monetary advice. Motley Fool Singapore contributor Stanley Lim would not personal shares in any corporations talked about. Singapore private home costs increased by 1.eight% within the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 0.6% within the earlier quarter. Resale prices of government-built HDB residences which are usually bought by Singaporeans, elevated by 2.5%, quarter on quarter, the quickest acquire in five quarters. And industrial property, prices are actually double the levels of three years ago. No withholding tax in the event you sell your property. All your local information regarding vital HDB policies, condominium launches, land growth, commercial property and more

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  • One of the biggest reasons investing in a Singapore new launch is an effective things is as a result of it is doable to be lent massive quantities of money at very low interest rates that you should utilize to purchase it. Then, if property values continue to go up, then you'll get a really high return on funding (ROI). Simply make sure you purchase one of the higher properties, reminiscent of the ones at Fernvale the Riverbank or any Singapore landed property Get Earnings by means of Renting

    In its statement, the singapore property listing - website link, government claimed that the majority citizens buying their first residence won't be hurt by the new measures. Some concessions can even be prolonged to chose teams of consumers, similar to married couples with a minimum of one Singaporean partner who are purchasing their second property so long as they intend to promote their first residential property. Lower the LTV limit on housing loans granted by monetary establishments regulated by MAS from 70% to 60% for property purchasers who are individuals with a number of outstanding housing loans on the time of the brand new housing purchase. Singapore Property Measures - 30 August 2010 The most popular seek for the number of bedrooms in Singapore is 4, followed by 2 and three. Lush Acres EC @ Sengkang

    Discover out more about real estate funding in the area, together with info on international funding incentives and property possession. Many Singaporeans have been investing in property across the causeway in recent years, attracted by comparatively low prices. However, those who need to exit their investments quickly are likely to face significant challenges when trying to sell their property – and could finally be stuck with a property they can't sell. Career improvement programmes, in-house valuation, auctions and administrative help, venture advertising and marketing, skilled talks and traisning are continuously planned for the sales associates to help them obtain better outcomes for his or her shoppers while at Knight Frank Singapore. No change Present Rules

    Extending the tax exemption would help. The exemption, which may be as a lot as $2 million per family, covers individuals who negotiate a principal reduction on their existing mortgage, sell their house short (i.e., for lower than the excellent loans), or take part in a foreclosure course of. An extension of theexemption would seem like a common-sense means to assist stabilize the housing market, but the political turmoil around the fiscal-cliff negotiations means widespread sense could not win out. Home Minority Chief Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) believes that the mortgage relief provision will be on the table during the grand-cut price talks, in response to communications director Nadeam Elshami. Buying or promoting of blue mild bulbs is unlawful.

    A vendor's stamp duty has been launched on industrial property for the primary time, at rates ranging from 5 per cent to 15 per cent. The Authorities might be trying to reassure the market that they aren't in opposition to foreigners and PRs investing in Singapore's property market. They imposed these measures because of extenuating components available in the market." The sale of new dual-key EC models will even be restricted to multi-generational households only. The models have two separate entrances, permitting grandparents, for example, to dwell separately. The vendor's stamp obligation takes effect right this moment and applies to industrial property and plots which might be offered inside three years of the date of buy. JLL named Best Performing Property Brand for second year running

    The data offered is for normal info purposes only and isn't supposed to be personalised investment or monetary advice. Motley Fool Singapore contributor Stanley Lim would not personal shares in any corporations talked about. Singapore private home costs increased by 1.eight% within the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 0.6% within the earlier quarter. Resale prices of government-built HDB residences which are usually bought by Singaporeans, elevated by 2.5%, quarter on quarter, the quickest acquire in five quarters. And industrial property, prices are actually double the levels of three years ago. No withholding tax in the event you sell your property. All your local information regarding vital HDB policies, condominium launches, land growth, commercial property and more

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  • One of the biggest reasons investing in a Singapore new launch is an effective things is as a result of it is doable to be lent massive quantities of money at very low interest rates that you should utilize to purchase it. Then, if property values continue to go up, then you'll get a really high return on funding (ROI). Simply make sure you purchase one of the higher properties, reminiscent of the ones at Fernvale the Riverbank or any Singapore landed property Get Earnings by means of Renting

    In its statement, the singapore property listing - website link, government claimed that the majority citizens buying their first residence won't be hurt by the new measures. Some concessions can even be prolonged to chose teams of consumers, similar to married couples with a minimum of one Singaporean partner who are purchasing their second property so long as they intend to promote their first residential property. Lower the LTV limit on housing loans granted by monetary establishments regulated by MAS from 70% to 60% for property purchasers who are individuals with a number of outstanding housing loans on the time of the brand new housing purchase. Singapore Property Measures - 30 August 2010 The most popular seek for the number of bedrooms in Singapore is 4, followed by 2 and three. Lush Acres EC @ Sengkang

    Discover out more about real estate funding in the area, together with info on international funding incentives and property possession. Many Singaporeans have been investing in property across the causeway in recent years, attracted by comparatively low prices. However, those who need to exit their investments quickly are likely to face significant challenges when trying to sell their property – and could finally be stuck with a property they can't sell. Career improvement programmes, in-house valuation, auctions and administrative help, venture advertising and marketing, skilled talks and traisning are continuously planned for the sales associates to help them obtain better outcomes for his or her shoppers while at Knight Frank Singapore. No change Present Rules

    Extending the tax exemption would help. The exemption, which may be as a lot as $2 million per family, covers individuals who negotiate a principal reduction on their existing mortgage, sell their house short (i.e., for lower than the excellent loans), or take part in a foreclosure course of. An extension of theexemption would seem like a common-sense means to assist stabilize the housing market, but the political turmoil around the fiscal-cliff negotiations means widespread sense could not win out. Home Minority Chief Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) believes that the mortgage relief provision will be on the table during the grand-cut price talks, in response to communications director Nadeam Elshami. Buying or promoting of blue mild bulbs is unlawful.

    A vendor's stamp duty has been launched on industrial property for the primary time, at rates ranging from 5 per cent to 15 per cent. The Authorities might be trying to reassure the market that they aren't in opposition to foreigners and PRs investing in Singapore's property market. They imposed these measures because of extenuating components available in the market." The sale of new dual-key EC models will even be restricted to multi-generational households only. The models have two separate entrances, permitting grandparents, for example, to dwell separately. The vendor's stamp obligation takes effect right this moment and applies to industrial property and plots which might be offered inside three years of the date of buy. JLL named Best Performing Property Brand for second year running

    The data offered is for normal info purposes only and isn't supposed to be personalised investment or monetary advice. Motley Fool Singapore contributor Stanley Lim would not personal shares in any corporations talked about. Singapore private home costs increased by 1.eight% within the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 0.6% within the earlier quarter. Resale prices of government-built HDB residences which are usually bought by Singaporeans, elevated by 2.5%, quarter on quarter, the quickest acquire in five quarters. And industrial property, prices are actually double the levels of three years ago. No withholding tax in the event you sell your property. All your local information regarding vital HDB policies, condominium launches, land growth, commercial property and more

    There are various methods to go about discovering the precise property. Some local newspapers (together with the Straits Instances ) have categorised property sections and many local property brokers have websites. Now there are some specifics to consider when buying a 'new launch' rental. Intended use of the unit Every sale begins with 10 p.c low cost for finish of season sale; changes to 20 % discount storewide; follows by additional reduction of fiftyand ends with last discount of 70 % or extra. Typically there is even a warehouse sale or transferring out sale with huge mark-down of costs for stock clearance. Deborah Regulation from Expat Realtor shares her property market update, plus prime rental residences and houses at the moment available to lease Esparina EC @ Sengkang
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