Transcendental equation: Difference between revisions

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In statistics, a pivotal quantity or pivot is a function of observations and unobservable parameters whose probability distribution does not depend on the unknown parameters ^[1] (also referred to as nuisance parameters). Note that a pivot quantity need not be a statistic—the function and its value can depend on the parameters of the model, but its distribution must not. If it is a statistic, then it is known as an ancillary statistic.

More formally,^[2] let $X = (X_{1}, X_{2}, \dots, X_{n})$ be a random sample from a distribution that depends on a parameter (or vector of parameters) $θ$ . Let $g (X, θ)$ be a random variable whose distribution is the same for all $θ$ . Then $g$ is called a pivotal quantity (or simply a pivotal).

Pivotal quantities are commonly used for normalization to allow data from different data sets to be compared. It is relatively easy to construct pivots for location and scale parameters: for the former we form differences so that location cancels, for the latter ratios so that scale cancels.

Pivotal quantities are fundamental to the construction of test statistics, as they allow the statistic to not depend on parameters – for example, Student's t-statistic is for a normal distribution with unknown variance (and mean). They also provide one method of constructing confidence intervals, and the use of pivotal quantities improves performance of the bootstrap. In the form of ancillary statistics, they can be used to construct frequentist prediction intervals (predictive confidence intervals).

Examples

Normal distribution

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In 12 months 2013, c ommercial retails, shoebox residences and mass market properties continued to be the celebrities of the property market. Models are snapped up in report time and at document breaking prices. Builders are having fun with overwhelming demand and patrons need more. We feel that these segments of the property market are booming is a repercussion of the property cooling measures no.6 and no. 7. With additional buyer's stamp responsibility imposed on residential properties, buyers change their focus to commercial and industrial properties. I imagine every property purchasers need their property funding to understand in value. One of the simplest pivotal quantities is the z-score; given a normal distribution with $μ$ and variance $σ^{2}$ , and an observation x, the z-score:

z = \frac{x - μ}{σ},

has distribution $N (0, 1)$ – a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1. Similarly, since the n-sample sample mean has sampling distribution $N (μ, σ^{2} / n),$ the z-score of the mean

z = \frac{\overline{X} - μ}{σ / \sqrt{n}}

also has distribution $N (0, 1) .$ Note that while these functions depend on the parameters – and thus one can only compute them if the parameters are known (they are not statistics) – the distribution is independent of the parameters.

Given $n$ independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) observations $X = (X_{1}, X_{2}, \dots, X_{n})$ from the normal distribution with unknown mean $μ$ and variance $σ^{2}$ , a pivotal quantity can be obtained from the function:

g (x, X) = \sqrt{n} \frac{x - \overline{X}}{s}

where

\overline{X} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i = 1}^{n} X_{i}

and

s^{2} = \frac{1}{n - 1} \sum_{i = 1}^{n} (X_{i} - \overline{X})^{2}

are unbiased estimates of $μ$ and $σ^{2}$ , respectively. The function $g (x, X)$ is the Student's t-statistic for a new value $x$ , to be drawn from the same population as the already observed set of values $X$ .

Using $x = μ$ the function $g (μ, X)$ becomes a pivotal quantity, which is also distributed by the Student's t-distribution with $ν = n - 1$ degrees of freedom. As required, even though $μ$ appears as an argument to the function $g$ , the distribution of $g (μ, X)$ does not depend on the parameters $μ$ or $σ$ of the normal probability distribution that governs the observations $X_{1}, \dots, X_{n}$ .

This can be used to compute a prediction interval for the next observation $X_{n + 1};$ see Prediction interval: Normal distribution.

Bivariate normal distribution

In more complicated cases, it is impossible to construct exact pivots. However, having approximate pivots improves convergence to asymptotic normality.

Suppose a sample of size $n$ of vectors $(X_{i}, Y_{i})^{'}$ is taken from a bivariate normal distribution with unknown correlation $ρ$ .

An estimator of $ρ$ is the sample (Pearson, moment) correlation

r = \frac{\frac{1}{n - 1} \sum_{i = 1}^{n} (X_{i} - \overline{X}) (Y_{i} - \overline{Y})}{s_{X} s_{Y}}

where $s_{X}^{2}, s_{Y}^{2}$ are sample variances of $X$ and $Y$ . The sample statistic $r$ has an asymptotically normal distribution:

\sqrt{n} \frac{r - ρ}{1 - ρ^{2}} \Rightarrow N (0, 1)

.

However, a variance-stabilizing transformation

z = {t a n h}^{- 1} r = \frac{1}{2} \ln \frac{1 + r}{1 - r}

known as Fisher's z transformation of the correlation coefficient allows to make the distribution of $z$ asymptotically independent of unknown parameters:

\sqrt{n} (z - ζ) \Rightarrow N (0, 1)

where $ζ = {t a n h}^{- 1} ρ$ is the corresponding population parameter. For finite samples sizes $n$ , the random variable $z$ will have distribution closer to normal than that of $r$ . An even closer approximation to the standard normal distribution is obtained by using a better approximation for the exact variance: the usual form is

Var (z) \approx \frac{1}{n - 3} .

Robustness

Mining Engineer (Excluding Oil ) Truman from Alma, loves to spend time knotting, largest property developers in singapore developers in singapore and stamp collecting. Recently had a family visit to Urnes Stave Church. From the point of view of robust statistics, pivotal quantities are robust to changes in the parameters – indeed, independent of the parameters – but not in general robust to changes in the model, such as violations of the assumption of normality. This is fundamental to the robust critique of non-robust statistics, often derived from pivotal quantities: such statistics may be robust within the family, but are not robust outside it.

References

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↑ Shao, J.: Mathematical Statistics, Springer, New York, 2003, ISBN 978-0-387-95382-3 (Section 7.1)
↑ Morris H. DeGroot, Mark J. Schervish: Probability and Statistics (4th Edition), Pearson, 2011 (page 489)

[1] Shao, J.: Mathematical Statistics, Springer, New York, 2003, ISBN 978-0-387-95382-3 (Section 7.1)

[2] Morris H. DeGroot, Mark J. Schervish: Probability and Statistics (4th Edition), Pearson, 2011 (page 489)

[1]

[2]

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+In [[statistics]], a '''pivotal quantity''' or '''pivot''' is a function of observations and unobservable parameters whose [[probability distribution]] does not depend on the unknown [[parameter]]s <ref>Shao, J.: ''Mathematical Statistics'', Springer, New York, 2003, ISBN 978-0-387-95382-3 (Section 7.1)</ref> (also referred to as [[nuisance parameter]]s). Note that a pivot quantity need not be a [[statistic]]—the function and its ''value'' can depend on the parameters of the model, but its ''distribution'' must not. If it is a statistic, then it is known as an ''[[ancillary statistic]].''
+More formally,<ref>Morris H. DeGroot, Mark J. Schervish: ''Probability and Statistics'' (4th Edition), Pearson, 2011 (page 489)</ref> let <math>X = (X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n) </math> be a random sample from a distribution that depends on a parameter (or vector of parameters) <math> \theta </math>. Let <math> g(X,\theta) </math> be a random variable whose distribution is the same for all <math> \theta </math>. Then <math>g</math> is called a ''pivotal quantity'' (or simply a ''pivotal'').
+Pivotal quantities are commonly used for [[Normalization (statistics)|normalization]] to allow data from different data sets to be compared. It is relatively easy to construct pivots for location and scale parameters: for the former we form differences so that location cancels, for the latter ratios so that scale cancels.
+Pivotal quantities are fundamental to the construction of [[test statistic]]s, as they allow the statistic to not depend on parameters – for example, [[Student's t-statistic]] is for a normal distribution with unknown variance (and mean). They also provide one method of constructing [[confidence interval]]s, and the use of pivotal quantities improves performance of the [[bootstrapping (statistics)|bootstrap]]. In the form of ancillary statistics, they can be used to construct frequentist [[prediction interval]]s (predictive confidence intervals).
+== Examples ==
+=== Normal distribution ===
+{{see also|Prediction interval#Normal distribution}}
+One of the simplest pivotal quantities is the [[z-score]]; given a normal distribution with <math>\mu</math> and variance <math>\sigma^2</math>, and an observation ''x,'' the z-score:
+: <math> z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma},</math>
+has distribution <math>N(0,1)</math> – a normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 1. Similarly, since the ''n''-sample sample mean has sampling distribution <math>N(\mu,\sigma^2/n),</math> the z-score of the mean
+: <math> z = \frac{\overline{X} - \mu}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}}</math>
+also has distribution <math>N(0,1).</math> Note that while these functions depend on the parameters – and thus one can only compute them if the parameters are known (they are not statistics) – the distribution is independent of the parameters.
+Given <math>n</math> independent, identically distributed (i.i.d.) observations <math>X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n) </math> from the [[normal distribution]] with unknown mean <math>\mu</math> and variance <math>\sigma^2</math>, a pivotal quantity can be obtained from the function:
+:<math> g(x,X) = \sqrt{n}\frac{x - \overline{X}}{s} </math>
+where
+:<math> \overline{X} = \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n{X_i} </math>
+and
+:<math> s^2 = \frac{1}{n-1}\sum_{i=1}^n{(X_i - \overline{X})^2} </math>
+are unbiased estimates of <math>\mu</math> and <math>\sigma^2</math>, respectively. The function <math>g(x,X)</math> is the [[Student's t-statistic]] for a new value <math>x</math>, to be drawn from the same population as the already observed set of values <math>X</math>.
+Using <math>x=\mu</math> the function <math>g(\mu,X)</math> becomes a pivotal quantity, which is also distributed by the [[Student's t-distribution]] with <math>\nu = n-1</math> degrees of freedom. As required, even though <math>\mu</math> appears as an argument to the function <math>g</math>, the distribution of <math>g(\mu,X)</math> does not depend on the parameters <math>\mu</math> or <math>\sigma</math> of the normal probability distribution that governs the observations <math>X_1,\ldots,X_n</math>.
+This can be used to compute a [[prediction interval]] for the next observation <math>X_{n+1};</math> see [[Prediction interval#Normal distribution|Prediction interval: Normal distribution]].
+=== Bivariate normal distribution ===
+In more complicated cases, it is impossible to construct exact pivots. However, having approximate pivots improves convergence to [[asymptotic normality]].
+Suppose a sample of size <math>n</math> of vectors <math>(X_i,Y_i)'</math> is taken from a bivariate [[normal distribution]] with unknown [[correlation]] <math>\rho</math>.
+An estimator of <math>\rho</math> is the sample (Pearson, moment) correlation
+:<math> r = \frac{\frac1{n-1} \sum_{i=1}^n (X_i - \overline{X})(Y_i - \overline{Y})}{s_X s_Y} </math>
+where <math>s_X^2, s_Y^2</math> are [[sample variance]]s of <math>X</math> and <math>Y</math>. The sample statistic <math>r</math> has an asymptotically normal distribution:
+:<math>\sqrt{n}\frac{r-\rho}{1-\rho^2} \Rightarrow N(0,1)</math>.
+However, a [[variance-stabilizing transformation]]
+:<math> z = \rm{tanh}^{-1} r = \frac12 \ln \frac{1+r}{1-r}</math>
+known as [[Fisher transformation|Fisher's ''z'' transformation]] of the correlation coefficient allows to make the distribution of <math>z</math> asymptotically independent of unknown parameters:
+:<math>\sqrt{n}(z-\zeta) \Rightarrow N(0,1)</math>
+where <math>\zeta = {\rm tanh}^{-1} \rho</math> is the corresponding population parameter. For finite samples sizes <math>n</math>, the random variable <math>z</math> will have distribution closer to normal than that of <math>r</math>. An even closer approximation to the standard normal distribution is obtained by using a better approximation for the exact variance: the usual form is
+:<math>\operatorname{Var}(z) \approx \frac1{n-3} .</math>
+== Robustness ==
+{{main|Robust statistics}}
+From the point of view of [[robust statistics]], pivotal quantities are robust to changes in the parameters – indeed, independent of the parameters – but not in general robust to changes in the model, such as violations of the assumption of normality.
+This is fundamental to the robust critique of non-robust statistics, often derived from pivotal quantities: such statistics may be robust within the family, but are not robust outside it.
+== See also ==
+* [[Normalization (statistics)]]
+== References ==
+{{Reflist}}
+[[Category:Statistical theory]]

Transcendental equation: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 02:59, 1 December 2013

Contents

Examples

Normal distribution

Bivariate normal distribution

Robustness

See also

References

Navigation menu

Transcendental equation: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 02:59, 1 December 2013

Examples

Normal distribution

Bivariate normal distribution

Robustness

See also

References

Navigation menu

Search