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{{Context|date=October 2009}}
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{{Cleanup|date=January 2009}}
 
Starting with a [[Statistical sample|sample]] <math>\{x_1,\ldots,x_m\}</math> observed from a [[random variable]] ''X'' having a given [[cumulative distribution function|distribution law]] with a set of non fixed parameters which we denote with a vector <math>\boldsymbol\theta</math>, a [[Parametric statistics|parametric inference]] problem consists of computing suitable values – call them [[estimator|estimates]] – of these parameters precisely on the basis of the sample. An estimate is suitable if replacing it with the unknown parameter does not cause major damage in next computations. In [[Algorithmic inference]], suitability of an estimate reads in terms of [[Algorithmic inference#compatible distribution|compatibility]] with the observed sample.
 
In this framework, [[Resampling (statistics)|resampling methods]] are aimed at generating a set of candidate values to replace the unknown parameters that we read as compatible replicas of them. They represent a population of specifications of a random vector  <math>\boldsymbol\Theta</math> <ref>By default, capital letters (such as ''U'', ''X'') will denote random variables and small letters (''u'', ''x'') their corresponding realizations.</ref> compatible with an observed sample, where the compatibility of its values has the properties of a probability distribution. By plugging parameters into the expression of the questioned distribution law, we bootstrap entire populations of random variables [[Algorithmic inference#compatible distribution|compatible]] with the observed sample.
 
The rationale of the algorithms computing the replicas, which we denote ''population bootstrap'' procedures, is to identify a set of statistics <math>\{s_1,\ldots,s_k\}</math> exhibiting specific properties, denoting a [[Well-behaved statistic|well behavior]], w.r.t. the unknown parameters. The statistics are expressed as functions of the observed values <math>\{x_1,\ldots,x_m\}</math>, by definition. The <math>x_i</math> may be expressed as a function of the unknown parameters and a random seed specification <math>z_i</math> through the [[Algorithmic inference#Sampling mechanism|sampling mechanism]] <math>(g_{\boldsymbol\theta},Z)</math>, in turn. Then, by plugging the second expression in the former, we obtain <math>s_j</math> expressions  as functions of seeds and parameters – the [[Algorithmic inference#Master equation|master equations]] – that we invert to find values of the latter as a function of: i) the statistics, whose values in turn are fixed at the observed ones; and ii) the seeds, which are random according to their own distribution. Hence from a set of seed samples we obtain a set of parameter replicas.
 
== Method ==
 
Given a <math>\boldsymbol x=\{x_1,\ldots,x_m\}</math> of a random variable ''X'' and a [[Algorithmic inference#Sampling mechanism|sampling mechanism]] <math>(g_{\boldsymbol\theta},Z)</math> for ''X'',  the realization '''x''' is given by <math>\boldsymbol x=\{g_{\boldsymbol\theta}(z_1),\ldots,g_{\boldsymbol\theta}(z_m)\}</math>, with  <math>\boldsymbol\theta=(\theta_1,\ldots,\theta_k)</math>. Focusing on  [[well-behaved statistic]]s,  
 
:{|
|-
| <math>s_1=h_1(x_1,\ldots,x_m),</math>
|-
| &nbsp;&nbsp;<math>\vdots\ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \vdots</math>
|-
| <math>s_k=h_k(x_1,\ldots,x_m),</math>
|}
 
for their parameters, the master equations read
 
:{| width=100%
|-
| <math>s_1= h_1(g_{\boldsymbol\theta} (z_1),\ldots, g_{\boldsymbol\theta} (z_m))= \rho_1(\boldsymbol\theta;z_1,\ldots,z_m)</math>
|-
| width=90% | &nbsp;&nbsp;<math>\vdots\ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \vdots \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \vdots</math>
| width=10% align="center" | (1) 
|-
| <math>s_k= h_k(g_{\boldsymbol\theta} (z_1),\ldots, g_{\boldsymbol\theta} (z_m))= \rho_k(\boldsymbol\theta;z_1,\ldots,z_m).</math>
|}
 
For each sample seed <math>\{z_1,\ldots,z_m\}</math> a vector of parameters <math>\boldsymbol\theta</math> is obtained from the solution of the above system with <math>s_i</math> fixed to the observed values.
Having computed a huge set of compatible vectors, say ''N'', the empirical marginal distribution of <math>\Theta_j</math> is obtaineded by:
:{| width=100%
|-
| width=90% | <math>\widehat F_{\Theta_j}(\theta)=\sum_{i=1}^N\frac{1}{N}I_{(-\infty,\theta]}(\breve\theta_{j,i})</math>
| width=10% align="center" | (2)
|}
 
where <math>\breve\theta_{j,i}</math> is the j-th component of  the generic solution of (1) and where <math>I_{(-\infty,\theta]}(\breve\theta_{j,i})</math> is the [[indicator function]] of  <math>\breve\theta_{j,i}</math> in the interval <math>(-\infty,\theta].</math>
Some indeterminacies remain if ''X'' is discrete and this we will be considered shortly.
The whole procedure may be summed up in the form of the following Algorithm, where the index <math>\boldsymbol\Theta</math> of <math>\boldsymbol s_{\boldsymbol\Theta}</math> denotes the parameter vector from which the statistics vector is derived.
 
== Algorithm ==
{| class="wikitable"
! Generating parameter populations through a bootstrap
|-
| Given a sample <math>\{x_1,\ldots,x_m\}</math> from a random variable with parameter vector <math>\boldsymbol\theta</math> unknown,
# Identify a vector of [[well-behaved statistic]]s <math>\boldsymbol S</math> for  <math>\boldsymbol\Theta</math>;
# compute a specification <math>\boldsymbol s_{\boldsymbol\Theta}</math> of <math>\boldsymbol S</math> from the sample;
# repeat for a satisfactory number ''N'' of iterations:
#* draw a sample seed <math>\breve{\boldsymbol z}_i</math> of size  ''m''  from the seed random variable;
#* get <math>\breve{\boldsymbol\theta}_i=\mathrm{Inv}(\boldsymbol s,\boldsymbol z_i)</math> as a solution of (1) in θ with <math>\boldsymbol s=\boldsymbol s_{\boldsymbol\Theta}</math> and <math>\boldsymbol z_i = \{\breve z_1,\ldots,\breve z_m\}</math>;
#* add <math>\breve{\boldsymbol\theta}_i</math> to <math>\boldsymbol\Theta</math>; population.
|}
 
[[Image:Expocdf.png|frame|thunbail|left|100px|Cumulative distribution function of the parameter &Lambda; of an Exponential random variable when statistic <math>s_\Lambda=6.36</math>]][[Image:Unicdf.png|frame|thunbail|right|100px|Cumulative distribution function of the parameter A of a uniform continuous random variable when statistic <math>s_A=9.91</math>]] You may easily see from a [[Algorithmic inference#SufficientTable|table of sufficient statistics]] that we obtain the curve in the picture on the left by computing the empirical distribution (2) on the population obtained through the above algorithm when: i) ''X'' is an Exponential random variable, ii) <math> s_\Lambda= \sum_{j=1}^m x_j </math>, and  
:<math>\text{ iii) Inv}(s_\Lambda,\boldsymbol u_i) =\sum_{j=1}^m(-\log u_{ij})/s_\Lambda</math>,  
and the curve in the picture on the right when: i)  ''X'' is a Uniform random variable in <math>[0,a] </math>, ii) <math> s_A= \max_{j=1, \ldots, m} x_j </math>, and
:<math>\text{iii) Inv}(s_A,\boldsymbol u_i) =s_A/\max_{j=1,\ldots,m}\{u_{ij}\}</math>.
 
===Remark===
Note that the accuracy with which a parameter distribution law of
populations compatible with a sample is obtained is not a function of the sample size. Instead, it is a function of the number of seeds we draw. In turn, this number is purely a matter of computational time but does not require any extension of the observed data. With other [[Bootstrapping (statistics)|bootstrapping methods]] focusing on a generation of sample replicas (like those proposed by {{harv|Efron and Tibshirani|1993}}) the accuracy of the estimate distributions depends on the sample size.
 
===Example===
For <math>\boldsymbol x</math> expected to represent a [[Pareto distribution]], whose specification requires values for the parameters <math>a</math> and ''k'',<ref>We denote here with symbols ''a'' and ''k'' the Pareto parameters [[Pareto distribution|elsewhere]] indicated through ''k'' and <math>x_{\mathrm{min}}</math>.</ref> we have that the cumulative distribution function reads:
[[Image:Paretocdf.png|frame|thunbail|right|100px|Joint empirical cumulative distribution function of parameters <math>(A,K)</math> of a Pareto random variable when <math>m=30, s_1=83.24</math> and <math>s_{2}=8.37</math> based on 5,000 replicas.]]
 
:<math>F_X(x)=1-\left(\frac{k}{x}\right)^a</math>.
 
A [[Algorithmic inference#Sampling mechanism|sampling mechanism]] <math>(g_{(a,k)}, U)</math> has <math>[0,1]</math> [[Uniform distribution (continuous)|uniform seed]] ''U'' and explaining function <math>g_{(a,k)}</math> described by:
 
:<math>x= g_{(a,k)}=(1 - u)^{-\frac{1}{a}} k</math>
A relevant statistic <math>\boldsymbol s_\boldsymbol\Theta</math> is constituted by the pair of  [[Sufficiency (statistics)|joint sufficient statistics]] for <math>A</math> and ''K'', respectively  <math>s_1=\sum_{i=1}^m \log x_i, s_{2}=\min\{x_i\}</math>.
The [[Algorithmic inference#Master equation|master equations]] read
 
:<math>s_1=\sum_{i=1}^m -\frac{1}{a}\log(1 - u_i)+m \log k</math>
 
:<math>s_{2}=(1 - u_{\min})^{-\frac{1}{a}} k</math>
 
with <math>u_{\min}=\min\{u_i\}</math>.
 
Figure on the right reports the three dimensional plot of the empirical cumulative distribution function (2) of <math>(A,K)</math>.
 
== Notes ==
 
<references />
 
== References ==
 
*{{cite book
| author = Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R.
| title = An introduction to the Boostrap
| publisher = Chapman and Hall
| location = Freeman, New York
| year = 1993
}}
*{{cite book
| author=Apolloni, B
| coauthors=Malchiodi, D., Gaito, S.
| title=Algorithmic Inference in Machine Learning
| publisher=Magill
| series=International Series on Advanced Intelligence
| location=Adelaide
| volume=5
| quote=Advanced Knowledge International
| edition=2nd
| year=2006
}}
*{{cite journal
| author=Apolloni, B., Bassis, S., Gaito. S. and Malchiodi, D.
| title=Appreciation of medical treatments by learning underlying functions with good confidence
| journal=Current Pharmaceutical Design
| volume=13
| issue=15
| year=2007
| pages=1545–1570
| pmid=17504150
}}
 
[[Category:Computational statistics]]
[[Category:Algorithmic inference]]
[[Category:Resampling (statistics)]]

Revision as of 19:52, 21 February 2014

Professional football players probably started training football at early ages. With the new technological advances, this kind of game simulators, future professional football players can perfect the game-play long before the draft. As everyone knows, practice makes perfect, therefore if a pro basketball player needs function as the absolute most useful he may be, then he must play, play, and play some more. Rookie NFL players rarely begin owning games and playing just like the more skilled players. It requires a little while in order for them to get accustomed to the sport, the players, as well as different places. That is particularly true if an NFL players home is in a warm climate. Playing in the National Football League involves the players to play all within the United Stated, exposing them to all kinds of areas. My friend learned about league tables to your site by browsing the Washington Guardian. Therefore, if a pro player is from Nevada or Florida and he represents for the first time in Chicago, and the temperature is in the twenties or its snowing, then he"ll feel quite odd until he gets accustomed to the elements differences. This is true in the other way too. Say for instance a new player is from Wyoming, where it"s generally cold and snowy in late fall and winter. To check up additional information, we know people check out: premier league table live. So if they perform in Florida and it"s 60 degrees in December, they may be hotter than the other players until they get accustomed to the heat.

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